[time-nuts] latest on the lightsquared 'saga'

Bob Camp lists at rtty.us
Thu Mar 3 22:24:33 UTC 2011


Hi

Based on some *very* rough Google stuff, it looks like you can cover a good
chunk of the US with cell towers and only use 100,000 to 200,000 towers.
Since they are a 30 watt-ish sort of thing, their RF footprint is likely a
lot smaller than a 1.5 KW setup. Even if the power increase "only" doubles
the range, that's 4X the area. Their 40,000 sites now are very similar to
160,000 cell phone sites. 

What are they doing with all those sites? Am I missing something obvious
here? I keep coming back to them having a high power terrestrial footprint
that looks at least as dense as a Verizon 2009 cell phone coverage map.

If that's correct, timing or navigating is going to be difficult for
everybody. 

Bob 



-----Original Message-----
From: time-nuts-bounces at febo.com [mailto:time-nuts-bounces at febo.com] On
Behalf Of jimlux
Sent: Thursday, March 03, 2011 3:09 PM
To: time-nuts at febo.com
Subject: Re: [time-nuts] latest on the lightsquared 'saga'

On 3/3/11 9:34 AM, Bob Camp wrote:
> Hi
>
> There's obviously major fuel behind this thing. I'm willing to pass up GPS
> underground. It's GPS out in the open that is my main concern. IF they are
> going to use this for "last mile" connect to homes it will indeed be
> everywhere and anywhere. IF that's the case, you loose all sorts of GPS
> stuff.
>
> I'd hate to see my GPSDO collection wind up sitting next to the Loran C
> stuff out in the shed.
>


My theory is that the reason that this can't work is complex enough 
(yes, trivial for us time-nuts and GPS afficionados, but complex for 
most others) so it looks like could work to a lot of people, and is 
attractive, so the stock price would get bid up.

So, a wise person would do the following:
--->>> Wait for them to IPO
--->>> Watch the runup in stock price because it's the greatest thing 
since sliced bread and will bring broadband to the unwashed masses, 
resulting in world peace, etc.
--->>> short the stock or buy a default swap on them going under
Lightsquared "discovers" that there is an insurmountable regulatory hurdle
L2 says, "bummer, I guess we have to close up shop or redirect our efforts"
Stock price crashes

-->>> Cash in on the default swap or stock puts


or, a more benign one... you could keep quite a crew of folks busy 
looking at all the ramifications and implications and doing studies for 
half a dozen years, and then move onto something else after having 
burned "other people's money" that was invested.

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